Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000235 0.000263 0.000293 0.000327 0.000365 0.000407 0.000456
2024-12-15 0.000199 0.000238 0.000282 0.000335 0.000399 0.000473 0.000566
2024-12-22 0.000172 0.000217 0.000271 0.000342 0.000430 0.000538 0.000680
2024-12-29 0.000150 0.000199 0.000261 0.000346 0.000457 0.000601 0.000799
2025-01-05 0.000131 0.000181 0.000248 0.000343 0.000475 0.000652 0.000907
2025-01-12 0.000116 0.000168 0.000240 0.000345 0.000497 0.000709 0.001029
2025-01-19 0.000105 0.000158 0.000233 0.000348 0.000521 0.000771 0.001162
2025-01-26 0.000094 0.000146 0.000222 0.000344 0.000533 0.000816 0.001275
2025-02-02 0.000089 0.000143 0.000225 0.000359 0.000575 0.000910 0.001469
2025-02-09 0.000083 0.000136 0.000221 0.000365 0.000602 0.000981 0.001635
2025-02-16 0.000077 0.000130 0.000217 0.000369 0.000626 0.001050 0.001803
2025-02-23 0.000070 0.000123 0.000211 0.000368 0.000643 0.001106 0.001954
2025-03-02 0.000064 0.000116 0.000204 0.000365 0.000657 0.001163 0.002117
2025-03-09 0.000059 0.000110 0.000198 0.000366 0.000676 0.001230 0.002305
2025-03-16 0.000055 0.000104 0.000194 0.000367 0.000697 0.001303 0.002511
2025-03-23 0.000051 0.000099 0.000189 0.000368 0.000718 0.001377 0.002725
2025-03-30 0.000047 0.000093 0.000182 0.000363 0.000727 0.001430 0.002905
2025-04-06 0.000043 0.000089 0.000178 0.000364 0.000746 0.001502 0.003131
2025-04-13 0.000041 0.000086 0.000175 0.000366 0.000769 0.001586 0.003387
2025-04-20 0.000038 0.000081 0.000169 0.000361 0.000777 0.001639 0.003585
2025-04-27 0.000037 0.000081 0.000172 0.000377 0.000830 0.001790 0.004008
2025-05-04 0.000035 0.000079 0.000171 0.000383 0.000860 0.001896 0.004344
2025-05-11 0.000033 0.000076 0.000169 0.000387 0.000888 0.001999 0.004681